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07/01/2009 01:36:45 AM · #51 |
Originally posted by rhadshaw:
95% confidence interval: (5.1533, 5.6000) |
What does that mean? |
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07/01/2009 01:38:33 AM · #52 |
Originally posted by DrAchoo:
OK, while I have the chance I gotta say my two new scores add up to 14.08. :) I'm gonna fade into the nojinxum background now... |
Go away.....I have 2 images on .01 off my PW! And I am cranky...so stay out of my way!
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07/01/2009 01:41:16 AM · #53 |
I am sitting on a PB in Freestudy and a PW by nearly 1 point in the High Contrast......so go figure!
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07/01/2009 01:55:52 AM · #54 |
Originally posted by Yo_Spiff:
Originally posted by rhadshaw:
95% confidence interval: (5.1533, 5.6000) |
What does that mean? |
Nothing after 7 votes!
Votes: 7
Views: 10
Avg Vote: 6.5714 |
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07/01/2009 02:02:44 AM · #55 |
Votes: 9
Views: 14
Avg Vote: 5.2222
Comments: 0 |
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07/01/2009 02:07:02 AM · #56 |
Originally posted by Carlo21:
Did some PI and uncovered some names. Trolls are now figured out if you can figure which of the 79 (currently online) gave you the low vote(s). I haven't voted yet so that leaves 78.
In case you don't know how. Go to Community and then Who's online. We'll get to the bottom of this. I'm erasing the below names due to the length. |
I'm voting, but I'm definitely not a troll. =)
Challenge: Member Challenge Free Study 2009-06 (Jun. 1st 2009 - Jun. 30th 2009)
Rules: Advanced Editing
Submissions: 407
Voting Deadline: Jul. 7th 2009
Details: June, 2009 Free Study.
Stats: You have rated 253 of 407 images (62%) in this challenge.
You have given an average score of 6.5336. |
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07/01/2009 02:16:48 AM · #57 |
Originally posted by Yo_Spiff:
Originally posted by rhadshaw:
95% confidence interval: (5.1533, 5.6000) |
What does that mean? |
It means that being a scientist who likes to overanalyze things, I'm using a technique called bootstrapping to forecast my final score. The basic premise is that I know the distribution of votes that I have received in the past (how many ones, how many twos, etc.) I also know how many votes I usually get on my Free Study entries. Basically, I take my known vote total so far, then augment with a random selection from the distribution of my previous scores to simulate the "votes that haven't happened yet." I repeat this 50,000 times, and then observe the range of possible scores that I could end up with.
The 95% confidence interval on my prediction lies from a low of 5.1533 to 5.6000. Put a different way, given my results so far, I expect my final score to fall between 5.1533 and 5.6000.
Aren't you glad you asked? ;-)
Originally posted by bspurgeon:
Nothing after 7 votes! |
Well, not quite. Granted, with only a few votes, my prediction essentially is a function of the mean and standard deviation of the distribution of past results. My predictions will become more "meaningful" as the number of actual votes increases and the number of bootstrapped votes decreases.
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07/01/2009 03:14:24 AM · #58 |
| My combined score of free study and high contrast is 7.9 ... grain is at 5.4 and ground up ended at 5.1. I am really considering withdrawing from at least one ... :( |
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07/01/2009 03:16:24 AM · #59 |
Votes: 9
Views: 14
Avg Vote: 4.7778
Comments: 0
Favorites: 0
Wish Lists: 0
Updated: 07/01/09 03:13 am
My worst FS ever. Wonder how long it takes til the validation request comes. |
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07/01/2009 03:30:44 AM · #60 |
Originally posted by vlado:
Finally broke through the 5.0 barrier
Votes: 6
Views: 8
Avg Vote: 5.1667
Now... fingers crossed that it keeps climbing. |
7th vote was a 5, the 8th a 4 and the 9th a 5... so' I'm back on 5.0000 :(
Is it just me or is voting going exceptionally slow on this FS? Perhaps something to do with rollover coinciding with the two Open Challenges. |
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07/01/2009 03:53:46 AM · #61 |
Votes: 9
Views: 16
Avg Vote: 4.4444
Comments: 0
Favorites: 0
Wish Lists: 0
Not a good starting.. hope it will improve.... |
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07/01/2009 04:08:39 AM · #62 |
lol Ankur, we are as bad as each other! Early days so am hoping for a decent climb :)
Votes: 9
Views: 20
Avg Vote: 4.4444
Comments: 0
Originally posted by ankursomani:
Votes: 9
Views: 16
Avg Vote: 4.4444
Comments: 0
Favorites: 0
Wish Lists: 0
Not a good starting.. hope it will improve.... |
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07/01/2009 05:26:43 AM · #63 |
| woke up this morning on 11 votes and 5.75 - now upto 19 votes and 6.5 - long may this trend continue!! |
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07/01/2009 05:31:13 AM · #64 |
Originally posted by eyewave:
Votes: 9
Views: 14
Avg Vote: 4.7778
Comments: 0
Favorites: 0
Wish Lists: 0
Updated: 07/01/09 03:13 am
My worst FS ever. Wonder how long it takes til the validation request comes. |
Maybe I can catch up with you.
Votes: 9
Views: 12
Avg Vote: 5.2222
Comments: 0 |
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07/01/2009 05:47:30 AM · #65 |
Wen I woke up I was in 100% JUDI mode I was gonna kill some mofo, then I look here and see it is just a trend, then I hit update and it got better, so I will give it a few hours before posting my extremely lame score
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07/01/2009 06:22:05 AM · #66 |
Votes: 15
Views: 23
Avg Vote: 4.7333
Comments: 0
I realize there are some awesome shots in the FS. But a 4.7 are you kidding me? This definately shouLD not be in the 4s. This isn't my first photo ever. It is pleasing and crisp to the eye so it doesn't deserve this insult. Well if it had feelings it woud feel the insult but since it doesn't feel I will have to feel for it and let me tell you I feeeeellllll. I gave to go to work. Blah.
Message edited by author 2009-07-01 06:22:49. |
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07/01/2009 06:54:51 AM · #67 |
Originally posted by BeckyT:
I realize there are some awesome shots in the FS. But a 4.7 are you kidding me? |
Down there with you at 4.85.
All I can say is broad appeal is a funny thing. I did anticipate people would not care for my subject or treatment. Meanwhile, my totally cliche shot in another challenge is slightly over a 6. Give them what they expect and you will be rewarded with high scores.
My only gripe is the usual: Not enough people leave comments on their midrange and low votes. These are the ones that need the feedback. Please, folks. |
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07/01/2009 07:14:54 AM · #68 |
After 7 votes 6.2 now I know its early but I wanted to post for Judi :)
Votes: 16
Views: 38
Avg Vote: 7.1250
Comments: 2
Favorites: 0
Wish Lists: 0
Updated: 07/01/09 07:12 am
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07/01/2009 07:17:23 AM · #69 |
Originally posted by Yo_Spiff:
My only gripe is the usual: Not enough people leave comments on their midrange and low votes. These are the ones that need the feedback. Please, folks. |
The thing is that generally in a freestudy you can have 250+ average/below average shots and people dont have time or inclination to comment on those shots - its only the extremely poor or incredibly good that do well with comments because quite frankly there are not that many about and after sitting through 30, 40 or 50 averagely OK shots, its nice to get something REALLy good, so you feel compelled to comment.
But we already knew all that. |
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07/01/2009 07:30:44 AM · #70 |
I was going to pull mine, knowing that it wouldn't be liked, although it's one of my favs.
Votes: 12
Views: 22
Avg Vote: 4.6667
Comments: 0 |
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07/01/2009 07:39:52 AM · #71 |
Not being liked much over here, but I knew going in with this one that it would not hit the broad appeal target. I had some landscapes that would have probably done better, but I personally liked them less.
Votes: 15
Views: 28
Avg Vote: 4.9333
Comments: 0
Message edited by author 2009-07-01 07:40:03. |
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07/01/2009 07:40:14 AM · #72 |
OH god...I was drunk last night and entered the wrong photo at the last minute. I don't even like my entry...how can i expect anyone else to like it!
Note to self: no more getting drunk before submitting for a challenge. |
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07/01/2009 07:58:28 AM · #73 |
Originally posted by Yo_Spiff:
Not being liked much over here, but I knew going in with this one that it would not hit the broad appeal target. I had some landscapes that would have probably done better, but I personally liked them less.
Votes: 15
Views: 28
Avg Vote: 4.9333
Comments: 0 |
I am right behind you. Slowly creeping up. Hopefully we will both be in the 5s before the days out.
Votes: 16
Views: 24
Avg Vote: 4.7500
Votes: 17
Views: 25
Avg Vote: 4.8235
Comments: 0
Keep it coming!
Message edited by author 2009-07-01 08:10:20. |
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07/01/2009 08:04:03 AM · #74 |
Votes: 15
Views: 18
Avg Vote: 6.2000
Comments: 1
Awfully early to allow myself to be pleased, but it's not a 4.x so I rather like it ;-) |
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07/01/2009 08:07:40 AM · #75 |
4.444
oh dear, not very good. But I like it.
And it was a fun day taking photographs and that's all that matters.
KeV |
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