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DPChallenge Forums >> General Discussion >> My son has a class assignment and he needs your help!
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02/28/2009 02:50:55 PM · #51
done
03/01/2009 01:42:50 PM · #52
Originally posted by SDW:

Here's a screen shot of the how the results look after 200+ people have been surveyed. We hope to have thousands before the end of March. Thanks everyone and remember email friends and family so they can participate.



What do you think?


A friend asked me a good question on this. He thought the question on Congressional Job approval was basically worthless as it would provide no useful data. A better question would be asking people if they approve of their congressperson or senator. As we know we all complain about congress in general but then keep re-electing our own. So the two questions together likely tell us that what we really think is that everyone else is the problem.

I thought that was a valid point that a class in statistical analysis would benefit from.

Message edited by author 2009-03-01 13:43:33.
03/01/2009 02:06:52 PM · #53
Done!
03/01/2009 02:28:41 PM · #54
Originally posted by jbsmithana:

A friend asked me a good question on this. He thought the question on Congressional Job approval was basically worthless as it would provide no useful data. A better question would be asking people if they approve of their congressperson or senator. As we know we all complain about congress in general but then keep re-electing our own. So the two questions together likely tell us that what we really think is that everyone else is the problem.

I thought that was a valid point that a class in statistical analysis would benefit from.

I not only had a concern about this part of the question (especially since that situation is true for me), but because there's a huge difference between approving of the results produced by Congress, and being satisfied with the process used to achieve those results.
03/01/2009 02:28:47 PM · #55
Done.
03/01/2009 05:07:17 PM · #56
Done :-)
03/01/2009 08:46:43 PM · #57
bump - thanks for participating.
03/01/2009 08:59:01 PM · #58
Done
03/01/2009 10:18:10 PM · #59
Done
03/01/2009 10:43:01 PM · #60
Originally posted by GeneralE:

Originally posted by jbsmithana:

A friend asked me a good question on this. He thought the question on Congressional Job approval was basically worthless as it would provide no useful data. A better question would be asking people if they approve of their congressperson or senator. As we know we all complain about congress in general but then keep re-electing our own. So the two questions together likely tell us that what we really think is that everyone else is the problem.

I thought that was a valid point that a class in statistical analysis would benefit from.

I not only had a concern about this part of the question (especially since that situation is true for me), but because there's a huge difference between approving of the results produced by Congress, and being satisfied with the process used to achieve those results.

I understand it would have been better to break it down but being a school project they wanted to to keep it simple. As far as the congressional approval the RCP Poll has congress approval at 31% approval rate while this poll has them at 33%, only 2% difference. And Google Analytics is showing that this poll should have a margin of error of +/- 3.5%.

With that said, after this school assignment is over I would like to make a more in depth poll of my own to see what people think on all kinds of subjects. I think it would be fun.

Message edited by author 2009-03-01 22:48:02.
03/02/2009 01:22:39 AM · #61
Originally posted by SDW:

Originally posted by GeneralE:

Originally posted by jbsmithana:

A friend asked me a good question on this. He thought the question on Congressional Job approval was basically worthless as it would provide no useful data. A better question would be asking people if they approve of their congressperson or senator. As we know we all complain about congress in general but then keep re-electing our own. So the two questions together likely tell us that what we really think is that everyone else is the problem.

I thought that was a valid point that a class in statistical analysis would benefit from.

I not only had a concern about this part of the question (especially since that situation is true for me), but because there's a huge difference between approving of the results produced by Congress, and being satisfied with the process used to achieve those results.

I understand it would have been better to break it down but being a school project they wanted to to keep it simple. As far as the congressional approval the RCP Poll has congress approval at 31% approval rate while this poll has them at 33%, only 2% difference. And Google Analytics is showing that this poll should have a margin of error of +/- 3.5%.

With that said, after this school assignment is over I would like to make a more in depth poll of my own to see what people think on all kinds of subjects. I think it would be fun.


No surprise that the outcome for that question runs in the one third range in all polls. That was my point. Bet asking about their own rep would take it up to two thirds.

It will be fun to see what you come up with in future polls though.
03/02/2009 09:35:11 PM · #62
bump
03/02/2009 09:59:14 PM · #63
done, but I take issue with the premise that this is done to strip the "media bias"

Media bias can come in many forms. If these are the same questions asked by the media, where is the bias?
03/03/2009 10:50:25 AM · #64
how many responses, now?
03/03/2009 11:46:38 AM · #65
Hey, one other question. I noticed you can fill out this survey more than once. How does it keep people from skewing the results (individual bias)? Seems if you can vote multiple times then the results would be suspect.
03/03/2009 01:55:34 PM · #66
Originally posted by karmat:

how many responses, now?


352

Originally posted by jbsmithana:

Hey, one other question. I noticed you can fill out this survey more than once. How does it keep people from skewing the results (individual bias)? Seems if you can vote multiple times then the results would be suspect.


Using a visitor software that is attached gives me a rough estimate of the margin of error which currently is +/- 3.5%. This takes in account duplicate entries.
03/03/2009 05:57:12 PM · #67
Originally posted by glad2badad:

Done, but too bad this isn't being done 6 months from now when we have a better gauge of the current administration.

Done a couple days ago. I'd like to see the results now and see how it compares with 6 or 12 months from now. Since Obama was Times "Man of the Year" before he even did anything I see some "Irrational exhuberance" as Alan Greenspan used to say and it turns out Alan was right.
03/04/2009 11:26:23 PM · #68
AS of March 4th, 2008 here are the results so far.

President Obama Job Approval

Approve 206 57%
Disapprove 153 43%

Congressional Job Approval
Approve 114 32%
Disapprove 245 68%

Direction of Country
Right Direction 171 48%
Wrong Track 188 52%

Votes Per State
Alabama 8 2%
Alaska 3 1%
Arizona 7 2%
Arkansas 0 0%
California 32 9%
Colorado 11 3%
Connecticut 2 1%
Delaware 0 0%
District of Columbia 0 0%
Florida 8 2%
Georgia 16 4%
Hawaii 2 1%
Idaho 2 1%
Illinois 7 2%
Indiana 6 2%
Iowa 2 1%
Kansas 1 0%
Kentucky 2 1%
Louisiana 3 1%
Maine 3 1%
Maryland 4 1%
Massachusetts 6 2%
Michigan 8 2%
Minnesota 3 1%
Mississippi 3 1%
Missouri 4 1%
Montana 0 0%
Nebraska 1 0%
Nevada 3 1%
New Hampshire 1 0%
New Jersey 11 3%
New Mexico 4 1%
New York 13 4%
North Carolina 33 9%
North Dakota 1 0%
Ohio 9 3%
Oklahoma 3 1%
Oregon 3 1%
Pennsylvania 14 4%
Rhode Island 1 0%
South Carolina 5 1%
South Dakota 0 0%
Tennessee 34 9%
Texas 16 4%
Utah 5 1%
Vermont 1 0%
Virginia 10 3%
Washington 32 9%
West Virginia 1 0%
Wisconsin 6 2%
Wyoming 0 0%




Message edited by author 2009-03-04 23:27:05.
03/04/2009 11:28:45 PM · #69
Pretty cool and I'm glad to help .. I placed my votes :)
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