Originally posted by Louis:
I don't believe your data is accurate. I consider it far too conservative. For one thing, you don't account for bisexuals, and, as demonstrated, differing concentration levels in different urban centres. The percentage of gays has been estimated to be as high as 12%. That again does not include bis. Your pool of 12 is probably a gross underestimate. |
Feel free to repeat this exercise with your own best guess at proportions, and see what you come up with. Even if you upped the initial population to 10% of the total, that's still only 24 people. The difference between 12 and 24 is negligible when compared to 40K.
This kind of calculation is done by scientists to estimate the chances for life out there on another planet, amongst other things. A few of these folks turned the technique upon their hunt for a mate. After calculations, some of them had less than one possible choice out of the entire population of NYC. They were pretty depressed about it. I got the idea from an episode of This American Life, which they've re-run in the last year or so if you want to track it down.
P.S. Don't you know that, traditionally, gay men won't date bis? Word on the street is that a bi man will eventually leave you for the social convenience of a woman once the lust dissipates, or to have kids. There's a strong undercurrent of hostility towards bis in both the gay AND straight communities. Many a bi man complains that he's entirely blown off by the gays, and the stereotypical advice for them is to "date another bi guy". Many a gay guy considers bis to be selfish, indecisive, commitment avoiding, cheating sluts. How much can you really trust someone who's literally neglecting half of their needs to settle for just the half of them that you can provide? Absence makes the heard grow fonder, after all, and you ain't gonna spontaneously sprout boobs.
Now you know! ;)
Message edited by author 2010-08-12 17:54:56. |
