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01/02/2004 12:45:09 PM · #1 |
Wow,, what a fantastic group of images...
I predict it will take a very high 7 to win this one,, possibly an 8+
thoughts?
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01/02/2004 01:14:16 PM · #2 |
| You're absolutely right. Those images so good, I had to look at them few times before I could vote. I think, it will take 8+ to win . |
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01/02/2004 02:06:46 PM · #3 |
I predict that the winning entry will score 7.65, and that my entry will score 6.25.
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01/02/2004 02:18:31 PM · #4 |
| Have there already been DQ's on this one? It says I voted on 195 out of 198. And i dont have one of my own in the challenge? |
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01/02/2004 02:41:18 PM · #5 |
7.65? Drat guess I won't be getting a ribbon ;-)
-danny
Originally posted by kirbic:
I predict that the winning entry will score 7.65, and that my entry will score 6.25. |
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01/02/2004 02:47:14 PM · #6 |
| My entry is at 4.2 at this moment. I have the feeling I'm going to have to weave my own special ribbon for this one. |
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01/02/2004 03:18:19 PM · #7 |
I just made a quick stats rundown of the last 25 challenges that had a 7.5+ first place finish. I computed medians, averages and standard deviation for 1st, 2nd and 3rd place showing. Here it is.
1st
median : 7.656
average: 7.674 ± 0.149
2nd
median: 7.220
average: 7.217 ± 0.243
3rd
median: 7.078
average: 7.042 ± 0.247
Hope this gives you an idea if you'll place in the top 3. From this, the best I can hope for is 3rd place. Not bad.
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01/02/2004 03:23:46 PM · #8 |
Firstly you have too much time on your hands :-)
Secondly, looks like I may have a chance at 2nd :-)
-danny
Originally posted by Beagleboy:
I just made a quick stats rundown of the last 25 challenges that had a 7.5+ first place finish. I computed medians, averages and standard deviation for 1st, 2nd and 3rd place showing. Here it is.
1st
median : 7.656
average: 7.674 ± 0.149
2nd
median: 7.220
average: 7.217 ± 0.243
3rd
median: 7.078
average: 7.042 ± 0.247
Hope this gives you an idea if you'll place in the top 3. From this, the best I can hope for is 3rd place. Not bad. |
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01/02/2004 03:52:53 PM · #9 |
Overall as a group these are the best images I have seen in a long time.
Message edited by author 2004-01-02 15:53:34.
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01/02/2004 04:30:58 PM · #10 |
Originally posted by Beagleboy:
I just made a quick stats rundown of the last 25 challenges that had a 7.5+ first place finish. I computed medians, averages and standard deviation for 1st, 2nd and 3rd place showing. Here it is.
1st
median : 7.656
average: 7.674 ± 0.149
2nd
median: 7.220
average: 7.217 ± 0.243
3rd
median: 7.078
average: 7.042 ± 0.247
Hope this gives you an idea if you'll place in the top 3. From this, the best I can hope for is 3rd place. Not bad. |
Drat! my prediction methodology has been found out!
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01/10/2004 12:43:59 PM · #11 |
Originally posted by Beagleboy:
I just made a quick stats rundown of the last 25 challenges that had a 7.5+ first place finish. I computed medians, averages and standard deviation for 1st, 2nd and 3rd place showing. Here it is.
1st
median : 7.656
average: 7.674 ± 0.149
2nd
median: 7.220
average: 7.217 ± 0.243
3rd
median: 7.078
average: 7.042 ± 0.247
Hope this gives you an idea if you'll place in the top 3. From this, the best I can hope for is 3rd place. Not bad. |
Statistical analysis of the last 25 challenges only means something if the December Free Study will be statistically average.
It will not. It is different in two significant ways. One, it is a free study. Two, there are the December rules. Free study eliminates the perpetual "does not meet the challenge" complaint and December rules contribute to higher quality images.
It will be more like the fauna challenge that had 10 images finish at 7 or higher. Several challenges have had third place ribbons above 7.3 and this will be another one.
Expect a cluster of scores in the low to mid-7 range.
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01/10/2004 01:26:32 PM · #12 |
Originally posted by stdavidson:
It will be more like the fauna challenge that had 10 images finish at 7 or higher. Several challenges have had third place ribbons above 7.3 and this will be another one.
Expect a cluster of scores in the low to mid-7 range. |
Why? The fauna challenge was neither open edit nor a free study. |
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01/10/2004 01:33:13 PM · #13 |
Ursula,
I mention the fauna challenge only as an example of an above average challenge and for no other reason.
The December Free Study challenge has built-in advantages that should contribute to higher scores.
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