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03/23/2010 05:31:31 AM · #1
Are there scoring trend in DPC ???

I observed my night challenge score :

Went to 5.3 on day one ( about 50 odd votes )
keep going down continuously for next few days until it hit 4.3
Now its again moving up in last 2 days to 4.5.....

it puzzles me.... with random votes how can there be such a clear trend..
03/23/2010 05:58:43 AM · #2
I've often noticed that, the only reason I can come up with is geographical. As certain countries are more prevalent at certain times then it will depend how your shot is perceived by a nation.

It's not so outrageous, different nations are bound to have different cultural influences and so will see an image in a different way.

That's the best I have anyway.
03/23/2010 06:06:38 AM · #3
Well the counter argument would be that such "nation" based trend can be seen for few hour not for days

Message edited by author 2010-03-23 06:06:51.
03/23/2010 06:13:40 AM · #4
Ahh, sorry, I didn't read your post properly :)

For the long term voting I think it's the type of people who vote and when they vote.

I imagine it's usually largely the same people who vote as soon as a challenge opens, or when a challenge is about to close etc, so that might explain the patters you see over a week.
03/23/2010 08:32:00 AM · #5
There are definitely patterns, as the low and high votes often seem to come in bunches. I have no real idea what ties them together however. The only thing that seem fairly common is for early votes to be either very low or very high. Some of that is just the perception that results from the wide swings a single vote can cause early one, but I also think some of the usual early voters tend to leave love it or hate it votes. Interestingly, a high scoring member mentioned the other day that he saw the usual trend as starting off very high and dropping over the week. My own experience has been that for me, I often start off low and climb over the week.
03/23/2010 09:59:10 AM · #6
My own experience has been that for me, I often start off low and climb over the week. [/quote]

Well I have been subjected to reverse trend mostly :(
03/23/2010 11:27:34 AM · #7
//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Apophenia
"Apophenia is the experience of seeing patterns or connections in random or meaningless data. "

Just my 2 cents.
03/23/2010 11:27:49 AM · #8
I blame it on the moon phases and the tides.
03/23/2010 04:49:01 PM · #9
Originally posted by Gryphx:

//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Apophenia
"Apophenia is the experience of seeing patterns or connections in random or meaningless data. "

Just my 2 cents.


Not only is it meaningless to try to make sense of early voting with such small sample sizes and variability, but the voting is skewed in random directions by
1. Folks getting their kicks by intially voting lots of 1's and watching score threads
2. Folks getting their kicks by intially voting lots of 10's and watching score threads
3. Folks giving everyone a 5 during a first pass and then coming back hours or days later and rasing/lowering during a second pass, sometimes just using the thumbnail view.

I turn off the "show results" until mid-afternoon of day one, which is roughly at the 50 vote mark, as most of the crazy statistical swings are gone by then. This tends to keep my blood pressure in check :)
03/23/2010 05:02:14 PM · #10
It seems like for me after the first 20 or so votes everything has leveled out and my scores stay within around .3 of that in either direction the rest of the time.
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