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DPChallenge Forums >> Side Challenges and Tournaments >> How Many Weeks for the Above-Avg. Tourney to End?
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08/25/2008 03:28:15 PM · #1
Here's a side challenge to the side challenge where participants have to beat their own long-term average each week: Predict how many weeks it'll take to get down to one survivor. Total weeks, not additional beyond now.

Note that tomorrow night ends week 4:
Start: 119 participants
Week 1: 70 left (41% dropped)
Week 2: 35 left (50% dropped)
Week 3: 28 left (20% dropped)
Week 4: 20 left (29% dropped)
Week 5: 12 left (40% dropped)
Week 6: 7 left (42% dropped)
Week 7: 4 left (43% dropped)
Week 8: 4 left (0% dropped)
Week 9: 4 left (0% dropped)
Week 10: 4 left (0% dropped)
Week 11: 1 left (75% dropped)

Big congrats to ace flyman for winning it all in week 11! It's quite appropriate that the one person who guessed it'd take 11 weeks was another one of the final four, EBJones!

6
Kelli


7
Jac
Pug-H


8
jeger
dsterner
Melethia
brownsm


9
CNovack
briantammy
marbo
Louisa


10
Quigley
Judi
levyj413


11
EBJones

12
SDW
karmat
andrewt
jdannels

13
Art Roflmao
sempermarine

22
raish


Message edited by author 2008-10-15 01:18:32.
08/25/2008 03:32:16 PM · #2
I predict 11!
08/25/2008 03:50:02 PM · #3
13
08/25/2008 03:53:48 PM · #4
12
08/25/2008 04:01:23 PM · #5
only 5 more
08/25/2008 04:12:30 PM · #6
Infinity...

Revised to 7 weeks.

Message edited by author 2008-08-25 20:12:49.
08/25/2008 04:32:06 PM · #7
4 weeks
08/25/2008 04:38:19 PM · #8
7...8...7...8... can't decide...

Let's go with 8!
08/25/2008 06:08:39 PM · #9
I will stick with my original post in this thread; that would be Week 12
08/25/2008 07:15:16 PM · #10
Week 7. <"ยค">
08/25/2008 08:01:44 PM · #11
Have to go with Week 9 :-)
08/25/2008 08:46:31 PM · #12
Week 10.
08/25/2008 08:53:17 PM · #13
week 12
08/25/2008 09:38:01 PM · #14
I'm thinking that 10 would be just about right.

MAX!
08/26/2008 01:48:20 PM · #15
Ok! All guesses so far are now listed in the first post.

Others? Step right up! Plaaaace yer bets!
08/26/2008 01:50:00 PM · #16
6
08/26/2008 09:30:49 PM · #17
Okay, Kelli, you're in.

C'mon in, folks, there's plenty of room and the water's fine. ;)

Message edited by author 2008-08-26 21:31:18.
08/26/2008 09:32:37 PM · #18
put me in for 5
08/26/2008 09:44:14 PM · #19
Originally posted by brownsm:

put me in for 5

You think it'll end next week? We'll drop 20 people or so in one more week?

Message edited by author 2008-08-26 21:44:25.
08/27/2008 11:01:22 AM · #20
Updated.

More guesses?
08/27/2008 11:05:52 AM · #21
Week 8 for my guess
08/27/2008 09:25:38 PM · #22
Originally posted by levyj413:

Originally posted by brownsm:

put me in for 5

You think it'll end next week? We'll drop 20 people or so in one more week?


no, i think it'll go another 5 weeks. My bad. so I guess that means I should have said 9. make that 8 since when I guessed, it was only after week 3 results were in.

Message edited by author 2008-08-27 21:26:23.
08/27/2008 09:44:32 PM · #23
I think I meant to say four more weeks, not end in four weeks. So add me to the group at 8.
08/27/2008 09:47:44 PM · #24
good luck to everyone still standing in this!!
08/27/2008 10:39:25 PM · #25
Well, based on the side challenge thread, a whole lotta people are going to drop after this week.
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